Conditional dependence un NAFTA Block: GARCH model and Copula approach

This article aims to analyze conditional dependence between the Mexican, American and Canadian stock markets during the period 2003-2018. Archimedean and elliptical Copulas and GARCH and TARCH models are employed to estimate conditional dependence in three subperiods: pre-crisis, crisis and pos- glo...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Sosa Castro ,Miriam, Bucio Pacheco, Christian, Cabello Rosales, Alejandra
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2018
País:Colombia
Recursos:Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/15352
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10784/15352
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:G15
C58
D53
Conditional Dependence
NAFTA
GARCH Copula
Contagion Effect
Dependencia Condicional
TLCAN
GARCH Cópula
Efecto Contagio
Descrição
Resumo:This article aims to analyze conditional dependence between the Mexican, American and Canadian stock markets during the period 2003-2018. Archimedean and elliptical Copulas and GARCH and TARCH models are employed to estimate conditional dependence in three subperiods: pre-crisis, crisis and pos- global financial crisis. Results reveal a 38% rise in conditional dependence during the crisis period, in relation to the previous period. On the other hand, the conditional dependence parameter diminishes when asymmetry is included.