Effects of macroeconomic announcements on stock returns across volatility regimes

Based on a simple Markov regime switching model, this article presents evidence on the effects of macroeconomic announcements on individual stocks returns. The model specification allows two regimes to be distinguished: one with high volatility and the other with low volatility. Considering the leve...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Aray, Henry
Tipo de recurso: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2008
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Granada (UGR)
Repositorio:Digibug. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Granada
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:digibug.ugr.es:10481/31542
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10481/31542
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Markov switching model
Macroeconomic announcements
Stock returns
Descripción
Sumario:Based on a simple Markov regime switching model, this article presents evidence on the effects of macroeconomic announcements on individual stocks returns. The model specification allows two regimes to be distinguished: one with high volatility and the other with low volatility. Considering the level of significance at 5%, the response of stock returns to macroeconomic announcements is much stronger in the low volatility regime. However, the effects of the Fama-French factors on individual stock returns is unambiguously significant in both regimes.